2014년 10월 16일 목요일

Refutation and concession

1. What is my thesis?

Robots will take our jobs in the future.
2. What is the opposite position?
Robots will not take our jobs in the future.
3. What arguments can I anticipate?
a) There is a job which humans 
can do but robots and AI can’t.
b) Many new jobs will be invented in the future.

4. How will I counter those arguments?
a) Job which humans can do but robots and AI can’t is small in number. 
b) Most of human's working is dependent on labor and  new jobs will be about automation. So Robots will take almost of our jobs in the end.

My Refutation and Concession
  Someone will consider my idea as an one of imagination about future. However, As robot technology develop, we will more heavily rely on it. Also, robots will affect human's unemployment rate and this was already confirmed. Because of this, I think Robots will take our jobs in the future.
They first stated that even when robots and AI are far more powerful, there will still be many things that people can do that robots and AI can’t. For example: creativity, innovation, exploration, art, science, entertainment, and caring for others. We have no idea how to make machines do these. However, Job which humans can do but robots and AI can’t is too small in number. It is obvious that robot is more useful and effortless than humans in working. People will require robots to do what they do and their jobs will be replaced by robots naturally.
They secondly stated that just as most of us today have jobs that were not even invented 100 years ago, the same will be true 100 years from now. People 50, 100, 150, 200 years ago would marvel at the jobs that exist today; the same will be true 50, 100, 150, 200 years from now. But, Most of human's working is dependent on labor and  new jobs in the future will be about automation.  It it true that Robot affects human's unemployment rate and robots will take almost of our jobs in the end.
  Related to both of those ideas, in addition, MIT economists Erik Brynjolfsson and Andrew McAfee suggested this idea with graph of declining global labor share. As the digital revolution started unfolding in earnest during the 1980s, the cost of computing power fell precipitously. Moreover, They already confirmed that robot technology affected unemployment rate of laborer. it means we also need to think of ways to take care of the casualties of our high-tech economy. These changes, after all, aren't going away.

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