Final Draft

Every day we absolutely use technology. And we know it changed everything in every part of our life. We cannot live without technology in a society. Think about our daily lives. We naturally use it in a workplace, community, and in communication and socialization too. In other words, We heavily rely on technology. I insist that we will more dependent on it in the future, and human's job will be replaced by robots. You might say this is just a one of prediction about the future and will not come true. However, today's many capitalists and economist are concerned about this and reveal that the unemployment rate of laborer and modern technology development are related. In order to not be replaced by technology, We need to aware of its negative effects and think of the way how we counteract against it. Therefore, I insist that robots will take our jobs of the future for three reasons.

First, We are more heavily relying on technology in the future. As today's development of robot technology is getting higher, robot will be a big part in our life. It is true that a robot is more useful and effortless than human in working because one machine can do today in minutes what in year's past would have taken days to accomplish. In Rodney Brooks's talk transcript, Why we will rely on robots? Percentages of adults who are working age gone down slightly over the last 40 years. But within the next 40 year, It will be changed dramatically, even in China. As humans get older, humans get more weak, and we can not do workings as we used to do. So we want to use robots, and it is natural that robots will take our jobs.

Second, Unemployment rate of a laborer and technology development are related. According to the Book, "Race Against the Machine by MIT economists Erik Brynjolfsson and Andrew McAfee", For three decades, wages had evaporated as a share of the economy. With the growth of the income inequality has been a global problem, the fall of labor becomes a big problem too. This Research supports my ideas with a graph of declining global labor shares. This data onto 50 countries reveals that "labor shares had fallen six percentage points in the 1980s markedly." As the digital revolution started unfolding in earnest during the 1980s , the cost of computing power fell precipitously. As a result, companies began investing in high-tech equipment instead of comparatively inefficient and expensive employees.

Third, Robot already replace many human jobs today. There are many Jobs that a robot already took away from human beings. One of this example is a bearer. In the past, human carried heavy things in a factory. But nowadays, carrying heavy things is almost the part of robots. They automatically move heavy things here over there. However, there are also many jobs that robot seems to take us. A housekeeper may perform many tasks such as vacuuming, mopping, sweeping, washing dishes, making beds and dusting. And these common tasks will be done by robots in the future. The promise of technology in 2035 predicts that automated domestic assistants will be in our house. And, robots already do many important surgeries. Many economists and scientist predict that robots will first take the doctor's work, a surgical robot is that an example. Furthermore, If there are people who die of gas suffocation by the cleaning in hazardous locations. Currently, place in these dangerous, robots will be sent because only repair is needed to them in a dangerous situation that damages larger happening even to gas, an explosion.

Someone will consider my ideas as one of imagination about the future. They oppose my argument insisting lack of robot technology and human's own ability for a reason. However, As robot technology develops, We will more heavily rely on it. Also, robots will affect human's unemployment rate, and this was already confirmed.

They firstly stated that "robots are not nearly as powerful and sophisticated as people starting to fear. There are big gaps between what humans want robots to do, and what robots can do. What that means is that there is still a huge gap between what humans do in jobs of current, and what robots can take. And it will be for decades." However, I disagree with this view because it is not reasonable. According to Busan KNN news, with the rapid development of industrial technologies, one-third of current human's job will be replaced by AI and robots within 20 year. It means that there are not big gaps between what humans want robots to do, and what robots can do. Robots can do what many people do in jobs today and actually do more efficiently than us. Do you think 20 years is the distant future? It is not so far into the future. For this reason, I think my opinion is true.

They secondly stated that "even robots are more powerful than humans, there are still many things that people can do but robots can't. For example, creativity, Innovation, exploration, art, science, entertainment, and caring for others. People have no idea that robots will do these things." However, I disagree with this view because it is not unimportant. Although robots can not do jobs requiring human's own ability such as creativity, Innovation, exploration, art, science, entertainment, and caring for others, but robots can do more efficiently in labor than humans. In fact, robot's role in working are getting important as time goes by because human's jobs which are dependent on labor are as many as those dependent on human's own ability such as creativity, entertainment. Moreover, It is obvious that the robot is more useful and effortless than humans in labor. 

To sum up, the dependence on a robot of human is getting higher as the robot technology develops dynamically. According to the Book, "Race Against the Machine by MIT economists Erik Brynjolfsson and Andrew McAfee", human's job is threatened by robot technology, and it can be understood by the growth of an unemployment rate of laborer due to technology development. Moreover, many robots have already taken many of our jobs today. Although current robot technology is not enough as we fear and it seems distant future, and there are jobs that humans can do but robots can't, human's jobs are dependent on labor rather than on human's own ability such as creativity, entertainment, people whose job is dependent on labor will lose their jobs. It is true that our workings become more comfortable and effortless with technology development, but it means that our jobs are threatened by technology too. I strongly argue that robots will take our jobs in the future, and we also need to think of ways to take care of the casualties of our high-tech economy.

Secon Draft

Every day we absolutely use technology. And we know it changed everything in every part of our life. We cannot live without technology in a society. Think about our daily lives. We naturally use it in a workplace, community, and in communication and socialization too. In other words, We heavily rely on technology. I insist that we will more dependent on it in the future, and human's job will be replaced by robots. You might say this is just a one of prediction about the future and will not come true. However, today's many capitalists and economist are concerned about this and reveal that the unemployment rate of laborer and modern technology development are related. In order to not be replaced by technology, We need to aware of its negative effects and think of the way how we counteract against it. Therefore, I insist that robots will take our jobs of the future. There are three reasons supporting my ideas.

First, We are more heavily relying on technology in the future. As today's development of robot technology is getting higher, robot will be a big part in our life. It is true that a robot is more useful and effortless than human in working because one machine can do today in minutes what in year's past would have taken days to accomplish. In Rodney Brooks's talk transcript, Why we will rely on robots? Percentages of adults who are working age gone down slightly over the last 40 years. But within the next 40 year, It will be changed dramatically, even in China. As humans get older, humans get more weak, and we can not do workings as we used to do. So we want to use robots, and it is natural that robots will take our jobs.

Second, Unemployment rate of a laborer and technology development are related. According to the Book, "Race Against the Machine by MIT economists Erik Brynjolfsson and Andrew McAfee", For three decades, wages had evaporated as a share of the economy. With the growth of the income inequality has been a global problem, the fall of labor becomes a big problem too. This Research supports my ideas with a graph of declining global labor shares. This data onto 50 countries reveals that "labor shares had fallen six percentage points in the 1980s markedly." As the digital revolution started unfolding in earnest during the 1980s , the cost of computing power fell precipitously. As a result, companies began investing in high-tech equipment instead of comparatively inefficient and expensive employees.

Third, Robot already replace many human jobs today. There are many Jobs that a robot already took away from human beings. One of this example is a bearer. In the past, human carried heavy things in a factory. But nowadays, carrying heavy things is almost the part of robots. They automatically move heavy things here over there. However, there are also many jobs that robot seems to take us. A housekeeper may perform many tasks such as vacuuming, mopping, sweeping, washing dishes, making beds and dusting. And these common tasks will be done by robots in the future. The promise of technology in 2035 predicts that automated domestic assistants will be in our house. And, robots already do many important surgeries. Many economists and scientist predict that robots will first take the doctor's work, a surgical robot is that an example. Furthermore, If there are people who die of gas suffocation by the cleaning in hazardous locations. Currently, place in these dangerous, robots will be sent because only repair is needed to them in a dangerous situation that damages larger happening even to gas, an explosion.

Someone will consider my ideas as one of imagination about the future. They oppose my argument insisting lack of robot technology and human's own ability for a reason. However, As robot technology develops, We will more heavily rely on it. Also, robots will affect human's unemployment rate, and this was already confirmed. So I strongly argue my argument is right, and from now on I will refute my counter argument's points.

They firstly stated that "robots are not nearly as powerful and sophisticated as people starting to fear. There are big gaps between what humans want robots to do, and what robots can do. What that means is that there is still a huge gap between what humans do in jobs of current, and what robots can take. And it will be for decades." However, I disagree with this view because it is not reasonable. According to Busan KNN news, with the rapid development of industrial technologies, one-third of current human's job will be replaced by AI and robots within 20 year. It means that there are not big gaps between what humans want robots to do, and what robots can do. Robots can do what many people do in jobs today and actually do more efficiently than us. Do you think 20 years is the distant future? It is not so far into the future. For this reason, I think my opinion is true.

They secondly stated that "even robots are more powerful than humans, there are still many things that people can do but robots can't. For example, creativity, Innovation, exploration, art, science, entertainment, and caring for others. People have no idea that robots will do these things." However, I disagree with this view because it is not unimportant. Although robots can not do jobs requiring human's own ability such as creativity, Innovation, exploration, art, science, entertainment, and caring for others, but robots can do more efficiently in labor than humans. Actually, jobs that humans can do but robots can't are too small in number because our jobs are dependent on labor rather than on human's own ability such as creativity, entertainment. Moreover, It is obvious that the robot is more useful and effortless than humans in labor. For this reason, I think my opinion is more reasonable.

To sum up, the dependence on a robot of human is getting higher as the robot technology develops dynamically. According to the Book, "Race Against the Machine by MIT economists Erik Brynjolfsson and Andrew McAfee", human's job is threatened by robot technology, and it can be understood by the growth of an unemployment rate of laborer due to technology development. Moreover, many robots have already taken many of our jobs today. Although current robot technology is not enough as we fear and it seems distant future, and there are jobs that humans can do but robots can't, human's jobs are dependent on labor rather than on human's own ability such as creativity, entertainment, people whose job is dependent on labor will lose their jobs. It is true that our workings become more comfortable and effortless with technology development, but it means that our jobs are threatened by technology too. I strongly argue that robots will take our jobs in the future, and we also need to think of ways to take care of the casualties of our high-tech economy.

My Third Research

My research

Research proposal: This is Probably a Good Time to Say That I Don’t Believe Robots Will Eat All the Jobs 

Source: http://blog.pmarca.com/2014/06/13/this-is-probably-a-good-time-to-say-that-i-dont-believe-robots-will-eat-all-the-jobs/

My Topic:

Robots will take human's jobs in the future.

What I hope to learn from this source: 

To find sources about counter-arguments to my argument and weaken the counter-argument with stronger evidence on your part. 

Notes:

This is probably a good time to say that I don’t believe robots will eat all the jobs.
Why do I believe that?
First, robots and AI are not nearly as powerful and sophisticated as I think people are starting to fear. Really. With my venture capital and technologist hat on I wish they were, but they’re not. There are enormous gaps between what we want them to do, and what they can do.
What that means is there is still an enormous gap between what many people do in jobs today, and what robots and AI can replace.  And there will be for decades.
Second, even when robots and AI are far more powerful, there will still be many things that people can do that robots and AI can’t. For example: creativity, innovation, exploration, art, science, entertainment, and caring for others. We have no idea how to make machines do these.
Third, when automation is abundant and cheap, human experiences become rare and valuable. It flows from our nature as human beings. We see it all around us. The price of recorded music goes to zero, and the live music touring business explodes. The price of run-of-the-mill drip coffee drops, and the market for handmade gourmet coffee grows. You see this effect throughout luxury goods markets — handmade high-end clothes. This will extend out to far more consumers in future.
Fourth, just as most of us today have jobs that weren’t even invented 100 years ago, the same will be true 100 years from now. People 50, 100, 150, 200 years ago would marvel at the jobs that exist today; the same will be true 50, 100, 150, 200 years from now.
We have no idea what the fields, industries, businesses, and jobs of the future will be. We just know we will create an enormous number of them. Because if robots and AI replace people for many of the things we do today, the new fields we create will be built on the huge number of people those robots and AI systems made available. To argue that huge numbers of people will be available but we will find nothing for them (us) to do is to dramatically short human creativity.
And I am way long human creativity.

Final Thoughts:

Through this research, I got an resources about counter-arguments to my argument.
From now on, I will refute their points and strengthen my argument.

First Draft

Every day we absolutely use technology and we know it changed everything in every part of our life. We cannot live without technology in a society. Think about our daily lives. We naturally use it in workplace, community, and in communication and socialization too. In other words, We heavily rely on technology. I insist that we will more dependent on it in the future, and human's job will be replaced by robots. You might say this is just a one of prediction about future and will not come true. However, today's many capitalist and economist are concerned about this and reveal that an unemployment rate of laborer and modern technology development are related. In order to not be replaced by technology, we need to aware of its negative effects and think of the way how we counteract against it. Therefore, I insist that robots will take our jobs in the future. There are three reasons supporting my idea.
First, We are more heavily rely on technology in the future.
As today's development of robot technology is getting higher, robot will be a big part in our life. It is true that a robot is more useful and effortless than human in working because One machine can do today in minutes what in year's past would have taken days to accomplish. In Rodney Brooks's talk transcript: Why we will rely on robots?, Percentage of adults who are working age gone down slightly over the last 40 years. But over the next 40 years, it's going to change dramatically, even in China. As we get older we get more frail, and we can't do all the tasks we used to do. So we want to use robots, and it is natural that robots will take our jobs.
Second, Unemployment rate of laborer and technology development are related.
According to Book: Race Against the Machine by MIT economists Erik Brynjolfsson and Andrew McAfee, For three decades, wages have evaporated as a share of the economy. Just as the rise of income inequality has been a global phenomenon, so too has been a fall of labor. This Research supports my idea with graph of declining global labor share. This data for 56 countries and found that worldwide, workers' share of GDP had fallen roughly five percentage points since the 1980s. As the digital revolution started unfolding in earnest during the 1980s, the cost of computing power fell precipitously. As a result, companies began investing in high-tech equipment instead of comparatively inefficient and expensive employees. 
Third, Robot already replace many human jobs today.
There are many Jobs that a robot already took away from human beings. One of this example is a bearer. In the past, human carried heavy things in a factory. But nowadays, carrying heavy thing is almost the part of robots. They automatically move heavy things here over there. However, there are also many jobs that robot seems to take us. A housekeeper may perform many tasks such as vacuuming, mopping, sweeping, washing dishes, making beds and dusting. And these common tasks will be done by robots in the future. The promise of technology in 2035 predict that automated domestic assistant will be in our house. And, robots already do many important surgeries. Many economist and scientist predict that robots will first take the doctor's work, a surgical robot is that an example. Furthermore, If there are people who die of gas suffocation by the cleaning in hazardous locations. Currently, place in these dangerous, robots will be sent because only repair is needed to them in a dangerous situation that damaging larger happening even by gas, an explosion. 

  Someone will consider my idea as a one of imagination about future. However, As robot technology develops, we will more heavily rely on it. Also, robots will affect human's unemployment rate, and this was already confirmed. Because of this, I think Robots will take our jobs in the future.

They first stated that even when robots and AI are far more powerful, there will still be many things that people can do that robots and AI can’t. For example, creativity, innovation, exploration, art, science, entertainment, and caring for others. We have no idea how to make machines do these. However, Job that humans can do but robots and AI can’t be too small in number. It is obvious that a robot is more useful and effortless than humans in working. People will require robots to do what they do, and their jobs will be replaced by robots naturally.

They secondly stated that just as most of us today have jobs that were not even invented 100 years ago, the same will be true 100 years from now. People 50, 100, 150, 200 years ago would marvel at the jobs that exist today; the same will be true 50, 100, 150, 200 years from now. But, Most of human's working is dependent on labor and  new jobs in the future will be about automation.  It it true that Robot affects human's unemployment rate, and robots will take almost of our jobs in the end.

To sum up, the dependence on robot of human is getting higher as the robot technology develops dynamically. According to Book: Race Against the Machine by MIT economists Erik Brynjolfsson and Andrew McAfee, human's job is threatened by robot technology, and an unemployment rate of laborer and technology development are related. Moreover, many robots already take many our jobs today.  Although there is a job that humans can do but robots and AI can’t and many new jobs will be invented in the future, people whose job is dependent on labor will loss their jobs. The researchers argue that the technology boom can explain about half the drop in labor's share of the world's economy. That's great for stockholders. It's great for consumers, who get better, cheaper products. It might even be great for workers with the skills to thrive in the today's labor market. But it means we also need to think of ways to take care of the casualties of our high-tech economy. These changes, after all, aren't going away.

Conclusion

To sum up, the dependence on robot of human is getting higher as the robot technology develop dynamically. According to Book: Race Against the Machine by MIT economists Erik Brynjolfsson and Andrew McAfee, human's job is threatened by robot technology, and unemployment rate of laborer and technology development are related. Moreover, many robots already take many our jobs today.  Although there is a job which humans can do but robots and AI can’t and many new jobs will be invented in the future, people whose job is dependent on labor will loss their jobs. The researchers argue that the technology boom can explains about half the drop in labor's share of the world's economy. That's great for stockholders. It's great for consumers, who get better, cheaper products. It might even be great for workers with the skills to thrive in the today's labor market. But it means we also need to think of ways to take care of the casualties of our high-tech economy. These changes, after all, aren't going away.

Refutation and concession

1. What is my thesis?

Robots will take our jobs in the future.
2. What is the opposite position?

Robots will not take our jobs in the future.

3. What arguments can I anticipate?
a) There is a job which humans can do but robots and AI can’t.

b) Many new jobs will be invented in the future.

4. How will I counter those arguments?

a) Job which humans can do but robots and AI can’t is small in number. 

b) Most of human's working is dependent on labor and  new jobs will be about automation. So Robots will take almost of our jobs in the end.

My Refutation and Concession

  Someone will consider my idea as an one of imagination about future. However, As robot technology develop, we will more heavily rely on it. Also, robots will affect human's unemployment rate and this was already confirmed. Because of this, I think Robots will take our jobs in the future.
They first stated that even when robots and AI are far more powerful, there will still be many things that people can do that robots and AI can’t. For example: creativity, innovation, exploration, art, science, entertainment, and caring for others. We have no idea how to make machines do these. However, Job which humans can do but robots and AI can’t is too small in number. It is obvious that robot is more useful and effortless than humans in working. People will require robots to do what they do and their jobs will be replaced by robots naturally.

They secondly stated that just as most of us today have jobs that were not even invented 100 years ago, the same will be true 100 years from now. People 50, 100, 150, 200 years ago would marvel at the jobs that exist today; the same will be true 50, 100, 150, 200 years from now. But, Most of human's working is dependent on labor and  new jobs in the future will be about automation.  It it true that Robot affects human's unemployment rate and robots will take almost of our jobs in the end.

  Related to both of those ideas, in addition, MIT economists Erik Brynjolfsson and Andrew McAfee suggested this idea with graph of declining global labor share. As the digital revolution started unfolding in earnest during the 1980s, the cost of computing power fell precipitously. Moreover, They already confirmed that robot technology affected unemployment rate of laborer. it means we also need to think of ways to take care of the casualties of our high-tech economy. These changes, after all, aren't going away.

My Confirmation

1. What is my thesis?
Robots will take our jobs in the future.

2. What types of source am I using to defend my thesis? Book: Race Against the Machine by MIT economists Erik Brynjolfsson and Andrew McAfee and Paul Krugman's column

3. Are my arguments mostly based on evidence, logic or emotion?
someone might say that my idea is just an imagination about future. But today there are many evidences supporting my idea that Robots will take our jobs in the future.  Book: Race Against the Machine by MIT economists Erik Brynjolfsson and Andrew McAfee helped me to know unemployment rate of laborer and technology development are related.


 My Confirmation

It is obvious that robot technology is developing from day by day, and it will affect very big impact on our society. I insist that robots will take our jobs in the future. There are three reasons supporting my idea.
First, We are more heavily rely on technology in the future.
As today's development of robot technology is getting higher, robot will be a big part in our life. It is true that robot is more useful and effortless than human in working because One machine can do today in minutes what in years past would have taken days to accomplish. In Rodney Brooks's talk transcript : Why we will rely on robots?, Percentage of adults who are working age gone down slightly over the last 40 years. But over the next 40 years, it's going to change dramatically, even in China. As we get older we get more frail and we can't do all the tasks we used to do. So we want to use robots and it is natural that robots will take our jobs.
Second, Unemployment rate of laborer and technology development are related.
According to Book: Race Against the Machine by MIT economists Erik Brynjolfsson and Andrew McAfee, For three decades, wages have evaporated as a share of the economy. Just as the rise of income inequality has been a global phenomenon, so too has been the fall of labor. This Research support my idea with graph of declining global labor share. This data for 56 countries and found that worldwide, workers' share of GDP had fallen roughly five percentage points since the 1980s. As the digital revolution started unfolding in earnest during the 1980s, the cost of computing power fell precipitously. As a result, companies began investing in high-tech equipment instead of comparatively inefficient and expensive employees. 
Third, Robot already replace many human jobs today.
There are many Jobs that robot already took away from human beings. one of this example is a bearer. In the past, human carried heavy things in factory. But nowadays, carrying heavy thing is almost the part of robots. They automatically move heavy things here over there. However, there are also many jobs that robot seems to take us. A housekeeper may perform many tasks such as vacuuming, mopping, sweeping, washing dishes, making beds and dusting. And these common tasks will be done by robots in the future. Actually, The promise of technology in 2035, predicte that automated domestic assistant will be in our house.
And, robots already do many important surgery. Many economist and scientist predict that robots will first take the doctor's work, surgical robot is that example. Furthermore, If there are people who die of gas suffocation by the cleaning in hazardous locations. Currently, place in these dangerous, robots will be sent because only repair is needed to them in a dangerous situation that damaging larger happening even by gas, an explosion.