2014년 11월 12일 수요일

My Third Research

My research


Research proposal: This is Probably a Good Time to Say That I Don’t Believe Robots Will Eat All the Jobs 
Source: http://blog.pmarca.com/2014/06/13/this-is-probably-a-good-time-to-say-that-i-dont-believe-robots-will-eat-all-the-jobs/

My Topic:
Robots will take human's jobs in the future.

What I hope to learn from this source: 
To find sources about counter-arguments to my argument and weaken the counter-argument with stronger evidence on your part. 
Notes:
    This is probably a good time to say that I don’t believe robots will eat all the jobs.
    Why do I believe that?
    First, robots and AI are not nearly as powerful and sophisticated as I think people are starting to fear. Really. With my venture capital and technologist hat on I wish they were, but they’re not. There are enormous gaps between what we want them to do, and what they can do.
    What that means is there is still an enormous gap between what many people do in jobs today, and what robots and AI can replace.  And there will be for decades.
    Second, even when robots and AI are far more powerful, there will still be many things that people can do that robots and AI can’t. For example: creativity, innovation, exploration, art, science, entertainment, and caring for others. We have no idea how to make machines do these.
    Third, when automation is abundant and cheap, human experiences become rare and valuable. It flows from our nature as human beings. We see it all around us. The price of recorded music goes to zero, and the live music touring business explodes. The price of run-of-the-mill drip coffee drops, and the market for handmade gourmet coffee grows. You see this effect throughout luxury goods markets — handmade high-end clothes. This will extend out to far more consumers in future.
    Fourth, just as most of us today have jobs that weren’t even invented 100 years ago, the same will be true 100 years from now. People 50, 100, 150, 200 years ago would marvel at the jobs that exist today; the same will be true 50, 100, 150, 200 years from now.
    We have no idea what the fields, industries, businesses, and jobs of the future will be. We just know we will create an enormous number of them. Because if robots and AI replace people for many of the things we do today, the new fields we create will be built on the huge number of people those robots and AI systems made available. To argue that huge numbers of people will be available but we will find nothing for them (us) to do is to dramatically short human creativity.
    And I am way long human creativity.
Final Thoughts:
Through this research, I got an resources about counter-arguments to my argument.
From now on, I will refute their points and strengthen my argument.


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